UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song PickCoach

Bantamweight

Main event

Win chance: 80%
Ochtagon: 0%

Win chance: 20%
Ochtagon: 100%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Umar Nurmagomedov

20-1-0

Song Yadong

23-9-1

0.1 KD 0.4

86.9 / 135.9 TOT Strikes 76.5 / 152.9

54.3 / 96.2 SIG Strikes 56.4 / 129.1

37.1 / 73.6 Head 34.5 / 98.9

11.0 / 15.6 Body 10.7 / 16.0

6.2 / 7.1 Legs 11.1 / 14.2

5:27 Control 1:43

3.8 / 8.1 Take Downs 0.7 / 1.7

0.2 SUB ATT 0.2

Umar Nurmagomedov recent form

W Deiveson Figueiredo 2026-01-24
W Mario Bautista 2025-10-25
L Merab Dvalishvili 2025-01-18
W Cory Sandhagen 2024-08-03
W Bekzat Almakhan 2024-03-02

Song Yadong recent form

W Deiveson Figueiredo 2026-05-30
L Sean O'Malley 2026-01-24
W Henry Cejudo 2025-02-22
L Petr Yan 2024-03-09
W Chris Gutierrez 2023-12-09

Where strikes land

Head
117 absorbed Body
74 absorbed Legs
45 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 9 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
485 absorbed Body
172 absorbed Legs
185 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 17 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Women's Strawweight

Main card

Win chance: 57%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 42%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Yan Xiaonan

19-5-0

Denise Gomes

12-3-0

0.2 KD 0.3

94.0 / 183.5 TOT Strikes 83.2 / 142.1

70.5 / 156.2 SIG Strikes 51.0 / 104.0

46.1 / 122.8 Head 25.1 / 67.6

9.3 / 13.6 Body 13.3 / 19.3

15.1 / 19.8 Legs 12.6 / 17.1

1:13 Control 2:59

0.8 / 1.2 Take Downs 1.1 / 3.2

0.0 SUB ATT 0.6

Yan Xiaonan recent form

L Virna Jandiroba 2025-04-12
W Tabatha Ricci 2024-11-23
L Zhang Weili 2024-04-13
W Jessica Andrade 2023-05-06
W Mackenzie Dern 2022-10-01

Denise Gomes recent form

W Tecia Pennington 2025-11-08
W Elise Reed 2025-05-17
W Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2024-11-09
W Eduarda Moura 2024-06-08
L Angela Hill 2023-11-04

Where strikes land

Head
445 absorbed Body
113 absorbed Legs
73 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 13 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
167 absorbed Body
96 absorbed Legs
64 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 9 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Bantamweight

Main card

Win chance: 20%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 80%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Aoriqileng

26-13-0

Kai Asakura

22-6-0

0.3 KD 0.3

62.2 / 108.2 TOT Strikes 25.7 / 56.3

41.7 / 83.5 SIG Strikes 15.7 / 45.7

27.1 / 66.3 Head 11.0 / 38.7

9.9 / 11.8 Body 3.3 / 5.0

4.7 / 5.4 Legs 1.3 / 2.0

1:07 Control 0:09

0.7 / 1.5 Take Downs 0.0 / 0.0

0.1 SUB ATT 0.0

Aoriqileng recent form

L Cody Haddon 2026-05-30
W Cody Gibson 2025-10-18
L Raul Rosas Jr. 2024-09-14
NC Daniel Marcos 2024-02-10
W Johnny Munoz 2023-10-07

Kai Asakura recent form

W Cameron Smotherman 2026-05-30
L Tim Elliott 2025-08-16
L Alexandre Pantoja 2024-12-07

Where strikes land

Head
402 absorbed Body
76 absorbed Legs
59 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 10 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
36 absorbed Body
7 absorbed Legs
19 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 3 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Flyweight

Main card

Win chance: 34%
Ochtagon: 0%

Win chance: 66%
Ochtagon: 100%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Alex Perez

26-10-0

Sumudaerji

19-7-0

0.4 KD 0.3

46.9 / 85.1 TOT Strikes 55.1 / 102.4

29.7 / 65.1 SIG Strikes 47.2 / 93.5

17.4 / 47.2 Head 29.0 / 67.9

5.3 / 8.4 Body 7.0 / 11.7

6.9 / 9.5 Legs 11.2 / 13.8

1:53 Control 1:01

1.0 / 2.2 Take Downs 0.5 / 1.5

0.3 SUB ATT 0.4

Alex Perez recent form

NC Sumudaerji 2026-05-30
W Charles Johnson 2026-01-24
L Asu Almabayev 2025-11-22
L Tatsuro Taira 2024-06-15
W Matheus Nicolau 2024-04-27

Sumudaerji recent form

NC Alex Perez 2026-05-30
W Jesus Aguilar 2026-03-07
W Kevin Borjas 2025-08-23
W Mitch Raposo 2025-04-12
L Charles Johnson 2024-10-19

Where strikes land

Head
240 absorbed Body
64 absorbed Legs
38 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 15 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
178 absorbed Body
45 absorbed Legs
47 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 11 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Light Heavyweight

Main card

Win chance: 59%
Ochtagon: 0%

Win chance: 41%
Ochtagon: 100%; 1 pick

How does win?

In which round?

Flyweight

Prelims

Win chance: 86%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 14%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

How does win?

In which round?

Flyweight

Prelims

Win chance: 30%
Ochtagon: 0%

Win chance: 70%
Ochtagon: 100%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Namsrai Batbayar

10-1-0

Andre Lima

11-1-0

1.0 KD 0.0

32.7 / 62.3 TOT Strikes 72.8 / 116.0

23.3 / 51.3 SIG Strikes 53.2 / 93.3

17.7 / 41.3 Head 24.0 / 53.0

1.7 / 3.3 Body 11.3 / 17.2

4.0 / 6.7 Legs 17.8 / 23.2

1:32 Control 3:10

1.0 / 3.3 Take Downs 1.0 / 1.7

0.3 SUB ATT 0.8

Namsrai Batbayar recent form

W Yin Shuai 2026-05-29
W Agulali 2025-08-22
W Wataru Yamauchi 2025-05-22

Andre Lima recent form

L Kevin Borjas 2026-06-20
W Daniel Barez 2025-03-15
W Felipe dos Santos 2024-09-07
W Mitch Raposo 2024-06-01
W Igor Severino 2024-03-23

Where strikes land

Head
25 absorbed Body
22 absorbed Legs
7 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 3 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
112 absorbed Body
70 absorbed Legs
33 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 6 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Flyweight

Prelims

Win chance: 84%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 16%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Rei Tsuruya

11-1-0

Kevin Borjas

11-5-0

0.0 KD 0.4

49.3 / 76.0 TOT Strikes 54.0 / 120.9

23.8 / 44.3 SIG Strikes 50.3 / 117.1

21.3 / 40.7 Head 38.6 / 100.7

1.2 / 2.0 Body 7.7 / 11.1

1.3 / 1.7 Legs 4.0 / 5.3

4:53 Control 0:43

3.3 / 9.0 Take Downs 0.0 / 1.6

1.3 SUB ATT 0.0

Rei Tsuruya recent form

W Luis Gurule 2026-05-30
L Joshua Van 2025-03-08
W Carlos Hernandez 2024-06-29
W Jiniushiyue 2024-02-03
W Mark Climaco 2023-08-27

Kevin Borjas recent form

W Andre Lima 2026-06-20
L Imanol Rodriguez 2026-02-28
L Sumudaerji 2025-08-23
W Ronaldo Rodriguez 2025-03-29
L Alessandro Costa 2024-05-04

Where strikes land

Head
64 absorbed Body
29 absorbed Legs
21 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 6 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
261 absorbed Body
111 absorbed Legs
107 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 7 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Featherweight

Prelims

Win chance: 42%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 58%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Jack Jenkins

14-4-0

Sean Woodson

13-2-1

0.4 KD 0.3

78.1 / 123.7 TOT Strikes 97.6 / 184.1

58.0 / 94.9 SIG Strikes 72.1 / 154.7

31.7 / 62.6 Head 51.2 / 126.9

13.7 / 17.0 Body 10.9 / 16.2

12.6 / 15.3 Legs 10.0 / 11.6

3:47 Control 0:57

1.7 / 2.9 Take Downs 0.5 / 0.9

0.1 SUB ATT 0.3

Jack Jenkins recent form

W Ramon Taveras 2025-09-27
L Gabriel Santos 2025-02-08
W Herbert Burns 2024-08-17
L Chepe Mariscal 2023-09-09
W Jamall Emmers 2023-06-24

Sean Woodson recent form

L Dan Ige 2025-04-12
W Fernando Padilla 2024-12-14
W Alex Caceres 2024-05-11
W Charles Jourdain 2024-01-20
W Dennis Buzukja 2023-08-05

Where strikes land

Head
148 absorbed Body
71 absorbed Legs
49 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 7 bouts

Where strikes land

Head
274 absorbed Body
136 absorbed Legs
126 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 10 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Bantamweight

Prelims

Win chance: —
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: —
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

How does win?

In which round?

Bantamweight

Prelims

Win chance: 72%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 28%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

How does win?

In which round?

Women's Strawweight

Prelims

Win chance: 30%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 70%
Ochtagon: 0%; 1 pick

Career average per UFC bout

Xiong Jingnan

19-3-0

Julia Polastri

14-6-0

0.0 KD 0.0

91.0 / 224.0 TOT Strikes 110.3 / 181.3

68.0 / 198.0 SIG Strikes 86.1 / 152.3

33.0 / 146.0 Head 53.1 / 111.6

21.0 / 34.0 Body 21.9 / 28.1

14.0 / 18.0 Legs 11.1 / 12.6

0:07 Control 1:45

0.0 / 0.0 Take Downs 0.6 / 0.7

0.0 SUB ATT 0.3

Xiong Jingnan recent form

L Angela Hill 2026-05-30

Julia Polastri recent form

L Talita Alencar 2026-04-25
W Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2025-10-11
L Loopy Godinez 2025-03-29
W Cory McKenna 2024-10-12
L Josefine Knutsson 2024-06-15

Where strikes land

Head
77 absorbed Body
43 absorbed Legs
2 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 1 bout

Where strikes land

Head
325 absorbed Body
116 absorbed Legs
62 absorbed

UFCStats sample: 7 bouts

Target colors show each fighter's share of significant strikes absorbed by area. Source: UFCStats.

How does win?

In which round?

Welterweight

Prelims

Win chance: 58%
Ochtagon: 100%

Win chance: 42%
Ochtagon: 0%; 2 picks

How does win?

In which round?

Latest picks

Bantamweight

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong

Umar Nurmagomedov

Song Yadong

Umar Nurmagomedov recent form

Song Yadong recent form

Women's Strawweight

Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes

Yan Xiaonan

Denise Gomes

Yan Xiaonan recent form

Denise Gomes recent form

Bantamweight

Aoriqileng vs Kai Asakura

Aoriqileng

Kai Asakura

Aoriqileng recent form

Kai Asakura recent form

Flyweight

Alex Perez vs Sumudaerji

Alex Perez

Sumudaerji

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Light Heavyweight

Liu Ce vs Levi Rodrigues Jr.

Liu Ce

Levi Rodrigues Jr.

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Flyweight

Bilal Hasan vs Nilson Rojas

Bilal Hasan

Nilson Rojas

Bilal Hasan recent form

Nilson Rojas recent form

Flyweight

Namsrai Batbayar vs Andre Lima

Namsrai Batbayar

Andre Lima

Namsrai Batbayar recent form

Andre Lima recent form

Flyweight

Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas

Rei Tsuruya

Kevin Borjas

Rei Tsuruya recent form

Kevin Borjas recent form

Featherweight

Jack Jenkins vs Sean Woodson

Jack Jenkins

Sean Woodson

Jack Jenkins recent form

Sean Woodson recent form

Bantamweight

Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi

Xiao Long

Francesco Nuzzi

Xiao Long recent form

Francesco Nuzzi recent form

Bantamweight

Lawrence Lui vs Hector Santiago

Lawrence Lui

Hector Santiago

Lawrence Lui recent form

Hector Santiago recent form

Women's Strawweight

Xiong Jingnan vs Julia Polastri

Xiong Jingnan

Julia Polastri

Xiong Jingnan recent form

Julia Polastri recent form

Welterweight

Ding Meng vs Cam Nelson

Ding Meng

Cam Nelson

Ding Meng recent form

Cam Nelson recent form

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